What they did
Ahrefs pulled 150,000 keywords that trigger an AI Overview and 150,000 that do not, using its own AIO SERP filter, then compared their traits.
What they found
99.2% of keywords that trigger an AI Overview carry informational intent. Those keywords have far lower search volume (median 500 versus 29,000) and are longer (median 4 words versus 2). And 99.9% of AIO result pages also show at least one other SERP feature.
How much weight to give it
The sample is large and the split design, AIO against non-AIO, is a clean way to isolate what predicts an Overview. Useful for understanding where Overviews turn up.
What it doesn't prove
It leans on one vendor's AIO detection and is an October 2024 snapshot. Overview coverage changes often, so the prevalence split will drift.